PolyCue
Multi-strategy bot combining arbitrage detection, AI probability modeling, market-making and automated risk controls. Runs 24/7 on our infrastructure - you configure and monitor.
CLOB Integration
On-Chain Settlement
Semantic Analysis
Agent OrchestrationContinuously monitors orderbook depth to identify pricing anomalies-including arbitrage opportunities where YES + NO shares deviate from $1.00, logical inconsistencies between correlated markets, and cross-platform spreads.
When YES trades at $0.48 and NO at $0.47, the bot can execute both sides for $0.95, capturing the spread when the market resolves at $1.00.
Analyzes real-time news feeds, social sentiment, and on-chain data using ensemble LLM models (GPT-4, Claude) to estimate event probabilities. Generates trading signals when market prices deviate significantly from model consensus.
If AI models calculate 60% probability but the market trades at 45%, the bot flags this as a potential opportunity for position entry.
Select from three pre-configured risk profiles or customize your own capital allocation across independent strategies:
- Conservative: 80% arbitrage, 20% market making(Target: Steady returns)
- Balanced: 50% arbitrage, 30% AI signals(Target: Growth with measured risk)
- Aggressive: 30% arbitrage, 50% AI(Target: Maximum alpha)
Automated position management prevents common trading mistakes through systematic rules:
- Trailing stop-loss: Locks in gains as positions move in your favor
- Position limits: Prevents overconcentration (max 10% default)
- Circuit breakers: Pauses trading when drawdown exceeds threshold
Position grows from $100 to $300. With a 50% trailing stop, the bot automatically exits at $150 if price retraces.
The Logic Engine
A high-frequency pipeline designed to capture alpha in milliseconds.
1. Data Monitoring (24/7)
Bot continuously monitors Polymarket CLOB via WebSockets for real-time orderbook updates across 100+ markets. Simultaneously aggregates news from AP, Reuters, and social feeds to detect breaking events that move probabilities.
Catches arbitrage opportunities that exist for only 2-15 seconds-impossible for manual traders.
2. Strategy Execution (Fully Automated)
Arbitrage Detection: Bot scans for pricing violations where YES + NO ≠ $1.00, then executes both sides automatically when spread exceeds transaction costs.
AI Probability Analysis: Ensemble of LLMs (GPT-4, Claude) estimate event probabilities from news/data. Bot generates trade signals when market price deviates < 10% from AI consensus.
Correlation Analysis: Identifies logical inconsistencies between related markets (e.g., "Trump Wins" vs "Republican Wins").
Processes thousands of data points instantly and executes faster than any human trader-strategies you'd never catch manually.
3. Trade Execution (Millisecond Speed)
Bot routes orders through dedicated Polygon RPC nodes for < 100ms execution speed. Intelligent rate-limiting stays within Polymarket's API limits (60 orders/min) while ensuring your orders arrive before competing bots.
All trades settle on-chain via Polygon-transparent, verifiable, non-custodial.
Speed advantage captures fleeting arbitrage opportunities before they disappear. Your funds never leave your wallet.
Multi-Strategy Portfolio
Configure in Telegram. Bot executes your chosen strategy 24/7 automatically.
Conservative
Bot executes only mathematically guaranteed opportunities. Automatically detects markets where YES + NO ≠ $1.00 and captures the spread. Zero directional risk.
Allocation: 80% Arbitrage, 20% Market Making
- Target: Stability (0.5-2%/mo)*
- Risk: Very Low
- Drawdown: < 1%
- Win Rate: 85%+ (backtested)
Balanced
Bot allocates capital to arbitrage opportunities first, then automatically takes positions when AI models detect significant probability mispricings (>15% edge from consensus).
Allocation: 50% Arbitrage, 30% AI Signals, 20% Market Making
- Target: Growth (3-8%/mo)*
- Risk: Medium
- Sharpe: > 1.5 (target)
- Win Rate: 70-75% (backtested)
Aggressive
Bot identifies logical inconsistencies between correlated markets (e.g., Trump vs GOP) and automatically trades directional momentum signals when AI detects breaking news catalysts.
Allocation: 30% Arbitrage, 50% AI Probability, 20% Momentum
- Target: Max Alpha (8-15%/mo)*
- Risk: High
- Sharpe: > 1.0 (target)
- Win Rate: 60-70% (backtested)
Copy Trading
Don't have time to manage strategies? Automatically mirror the trades of top-performing prediction market whales.
Protected by PolyCue Safety Engine
* Past performance is not indicative of future results. Copy trading involves risk.
Bitcoin Up or Down - 5 min
PolyCue now supports automated trading on Polymarket's 5-minute Up or Down market. Front-run price updates and capture value with millisecond precision.
Target Market: BTC/USD Oracle
Automated "Up" or "Down" execution based on live data.
How the Bot Wins
These Polymarket contracts resolve strictly using the Chainlink BTC/USD data stream. PolyCue monitors this stream faster than the web UI updates, allowing it to place orders before the general market reacts to Oracle price changes.
Monitor Data StreamAutomated Edge
Manual traders struggle with these fast-moving markets. PolyCue connects directly to the Chainlink Oracle and Polymarket API simultaneously. It calculates the probability of a "High" or "Low" resolution in real-time as the deadline approaches.
Strategy Advantages
- Latency Arbitrage: React to price updates before UI-based traders.
- Risk-Managed Sizing: Position sizes adjust essentially based on distance from strike price.
- 24/7 Execution: New markets open every hour; the bot trades them all while you sleep.
Institutional-Grade Safety
Polymarket has no native stop-loss. PolyCue does.
Non-Custodial
Your capital is managed via EIP-7702 smart wallets, allowing you to delegate only the exact amount you want to trade. We can never withdraw or move more than your allocated funds.
Trailing Stops
Unlike manual trading, PolyCue sets dynamic stop-losses to lock in profits. No more round-tripping a 300% gain back to zero.
Geo-Agnostic
Direct integration with the Polymarket CLOB allows execution from anywhere. Bypasses frontend IP restrictions automatically.
Kelly Sizing
Position sizes are dynamically calculated using the Kelly Criterion to maximize long-term geometric growth while protecting against risk of ruin.
Choose Your Edge
Select the plan that fits your trading volume and strategy complexity.
Essential tools for automated Polymarket trading.
Advanced intelligence and execution for serious traders.